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King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.6%Based on 39K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%3.2%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nc3
King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 53.6%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.3% win rate (1,016 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (1,957 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (3,102 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (4,574 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (7,044 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (10,153 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.7% win rate (7,357 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.6% win rate (3,219 games)
  • 2500+: 47.3% win rate (378 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (52%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (9,806 games)
  • Blitz: 52.1% win rate (22,222 games)
  • Rapid: 51.6% win rate (6,528 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (236 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (269 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (555 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (191 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (549 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,052 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (350 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (1,075 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (1,534 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (478 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,349 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (2,440 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (736 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,647 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (4,231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (1,087 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,857 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (6,063 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (2,176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (56 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (1,745 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (4,261 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,319 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (1,091 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (1,937 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (187 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (224 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (7.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.1%) outperforms Classical (50.7%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 43.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 378 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 14.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.4%) win rate for white (9.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.6%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-56.1%) win rate for white (236 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Quaade Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.