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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit

222K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.2%Based on 222K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.9% – 51.2%
Outcome Distribution
49.5%3.2%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit
n=222K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.2%), based on 222K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.2% win rate (25,212 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (40,447 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.7% win rate (47,290 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (43,451 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (35,684 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (20,496 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.9% win rate (6,764 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (2,538 games)
  • 2500+: 55.2% win rate (213 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.1% win rate (152 games)
  • Bullet: 51.1% win rate (49,837 games)
  • Blitz: 49.4% win rate (121,523 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (48,630 games)
  • Classical: 47.9% win rate (1,953 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (4,964 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (13,869 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (6,331 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (7,518 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (22,717 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (10,010 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (178 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (10,803 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (24,581 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (11,136 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (734 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (8,997 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (23,684 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (10,124 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (603 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (8,352 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (20,164 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (6,834 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (311 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (5,633 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (11,443 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (3,328 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,493 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (3,497 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (763 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (944 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (1,491 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (101 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (133 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 222K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.8% win rate for white (40K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.1%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 213 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-59.7%) win rate for white (152 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.4%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.7%) win rate for white (122K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.0%-49.7%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.