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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 51.0%Based on 13K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%3.3%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.h4
King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 51.0%), based on 13K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.9% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (23 games)
  • 1000-1199: 68.4% win rate (46 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.0% win rate (163 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.3% win rate (638 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (2,259 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.1% win rate (4,624 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (3,964 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (1,095 games)
  • 2500+: 46.2% win rate (58 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.9% win rate (2,943 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (8,634 games)
  • Rapid: 45.4% win rate (1,265 games)
  • Classical: 39.0% win rate (28 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 71.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (68 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (263 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (336 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (580 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,467 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (197 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (873 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (3,220 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (524 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (772 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (2,760 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (429 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (282 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (746 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.6% expected score (65 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Continuations (1)
King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation
60.1%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (638 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.9%) outperforms Rapid (45.4%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 0.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 638 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.4%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-47.7%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.