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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit

4.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score42.8%Range (90% confident): 41.6% – 44.1%Based on 4.3K games
0%42.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.6% – 44.1%
Outcome Distribution
40.6%4.3%55.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Ne2
King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit
Analyzen=4.3K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 42.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 41.6% and 44.1%), based on 4.3K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -13.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 40% → 30%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 40.1% win rate (1,457 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.4% win rate (907 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.4% win rate (732 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.6% win rate (528 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.8% win rate (352 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.9% win rate (215 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.1% win rate (80 games)
  • 2200-2499: 30.4% win rate (10 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (72%), worst in Classical (25%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 72.4% win rate (13 games)
  • Bullet: 43.7% win rate (712 games)
  • Blitz: 42.0% win rate (2,189 games)
  • Rapid: 37.2% win rate (1,290 games)
  • Classical: 24.8% win rate (77 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (226 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (731 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (490 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (129 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (440 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (324 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (387 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 34.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (163 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 23.2% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (208 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 40.6% (90% CI: 39.4%-41.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 46.9% win rate for white (215 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (43.7%) outperforms Classical (24.8%) by 18.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.0%-42.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 41.4% (90% CI: 38.8%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 907 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 40.4% (90% CI: 37.5%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 732 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 35.6% (90% CI: 32.2%-39.1%) win rate for white, based on 528 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 40.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 352 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 41.3%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 215 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 43.7% (90% CI: 40.6%-46.7%) win rate for white (712 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.3%-43.8%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit has a 37.2% (90% CI: 35.0%-39.4%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Paris Gambit is slightly favors black with a 40.6% (90% CI: 39.4%-41.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.