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King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit

395 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 43.6% – 51.9%Based on 395 games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.6% – 51.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%3.4%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b3
King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit
Analyzen=395
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit has a 47.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.6% and 51.9%), based on 395 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 64%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (57 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.2% win rate (60 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.9% win rate (65 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.6% win rate (80 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.0% win rate (74 games)
  • 1800-1999: 36.8% win rate (46 games)
  • 2000-2199: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • 2200-2499: 63.6% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (106 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (208 games)
  • Rapid: 43.8% win rate (75 games)
  • Classical: 23.1% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499————
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 71.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 33.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 41.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 395 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 63.9% win rate for white (65 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.8%) outperforms Rapid (43.8%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 41.0%-56.7%) win rate for white (106 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 40.4%-51.7%) win rate for white (208 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Orsini Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.0% (90% CI: 41.9%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.