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King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit

67K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score63.5%Range (90% confident): 63.2% – 63.8%Based on 67K games
0%63.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 63.2% – 63.8%
Outcome Distribution
62.3%2.3%35.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.O-O
King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit
Analyzen=67K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 63.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 63.2% and 63.8%), based on 67K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +35.9% · Breakpoint: Never

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.5 · Trap factor: +26.7 · n=67K

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~62%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 62.4% win rate (270 games)
  • 1000-1199: 69.8% win rate (918 games)
  • 1200-1399: 68.8% win rate (3,196 games)
  • 1400-1599: 65.3% win rate (9,305 games)
  • 1600-1799: 62.7% win rate (19,490 games)
  • 1800-1999: 61.0% win rate (22,856 games)
  • 2000-2199: 59.1% win rate (8,975 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.1% win rate (1,523 games)
  • 2500+: 61.3% win rate (94 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (63%), worst in Classical (59%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 63.4% win rate (15,846 games)
  • Blitz: 62.0% win rate (40,845 games)
  • Rapid: 61.4% win rate (9,611 games)
  • Classical: 59.1% win rate (314 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (142 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (95 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 73.2% expected score (511 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 66.4% expected score (353 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 68.9% expected score (1,415 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 71.2% expected score (1,534 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (240 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 66.6% expected score (2,673 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 66.5% expected score (5,615 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 63.9% expected score (967 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (46 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 64.2% expected score (4,015 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (12,626 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (2,737 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.1% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (3,985 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (14,651 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (4,094 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (2,130 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (5,462 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (1,357 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (903 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (489 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.4% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.6% expected score (72 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 73.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
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Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
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King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 62.3% (90% CI: 62.0%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 67K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 68.8% win rate for white (3.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (63.4%) outperforms Classical (59.1%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 62.4% (90% CI: 57.6%-67.2%) win rate for white, based on 270 Lichess games. Average game length is 19 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 69.8% (90% CI: 67.3%-72.2%) win rate for white, based on 918 Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 68.8% (90% CI: 67.4%-70.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 65.3% (90% CI: 64.5%-66.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 62.7% (90% CI: 62.1%-63.2%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 61.0% (90% CI: 60.5%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 59.1% (90% CI: 58.2%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 58.1% (90% CI: 56.0%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 63.4% (90% CI: 62.8%-64.0%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 62.0% (90% CI: 61.7%-62.4%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 61.4% (90% CI: 60.6%-62.2%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit has a 59.1% (90% CI: 54.5%-63.6%) win rate for white (314 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit, Wild Muzio Gambit is statistically favors white with a 62.3% (90% CI: 62.0%-62.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.