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King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense

3.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.6%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 56.1%Based on 3.2K games
0%54.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
53.3%2.6%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Qe7
King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense
Analyzen=3.2K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 54.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 56.1%), based on 3.2K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 27% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 67.4% win rate (20 games)
  • 1200-1399: 64.1% win rate (82 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.3% win rate (269 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.2% win rate (782 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (1,366 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.9% win rate (584 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (48 games)
  • 2500+: 52.9% win rate (7 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Classical (20%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 54.1% win rate (665 games)
  • Blitz: 53.4% win rate (2,148 games)
  • Rapid: 52.3% win rate (338 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (11 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 72.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 63.1% expected score (171 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (176 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (516 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 10.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (225 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (974 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (92 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (426 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 64.1% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.4%) outperforms Rapid (52.3%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 59.3% (90% CI: 54.4%-64.2%) win rate for white, based on 269 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 54.2% (90% CI: 51.2%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 782 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 584 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-57.3%) win rate for white (665 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.2%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-56.7%) win rate for white (338 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Muzio Gambit Accepted, From's Defense is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.