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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit

207 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 58.6%Based on 207 games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 58.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.1%3.6%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bxf4
King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit
Analyzen=207
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 58.6%), based on 207 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 64%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.9% win rate (17 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (53 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.7% win rate (100 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (20 games)
  • 2200-2499: 63.6% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (57%), worst in Rapid (32%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 56.9% win rate (89 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (93 games)
  • Rapid: 32.1% win rate (25 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499————
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 61.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 207 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (100 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.9%) outperforms Blitz (50.3%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 100 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kotov Gambit is slightly favors black with a 51.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-56.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.