TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.4%Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 48.2%Based on 1.9K games
0%46.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%4.1%51.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nc6
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 46.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.5% and 48.2%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -9.0% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.6% win rate (47 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.1% win rate (115 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.9% win rate (330 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.1% win rate (488 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.9% win rate (547 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.0% win rate (285 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.7% win rate (93 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (23 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (9%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (587 games)
  • Blitz: 43.9% win rate (1,133 games)
  • Rapid: 40.8% win rate (213 games)
  • Classical: 9.1% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 63.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.8% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 39.3% expected score (120 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (180 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (112 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (322 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (357 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 36.1% expected score (63 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (140 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.4%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (285 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.6%) outperforms Rapid (40.8%) by 5.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 43.9% (90% CI: 39.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 330 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 39.1% (90% CI: 35.5%-42.8%) win rate for white, based on 488 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 44.9% (90% CI: 41.5%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 547 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 44.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 285 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-50.0%) win rate for white (587 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 43.9% (90% CI: 41.4%-46.3%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense has a 40.8% (90% CI: 35.3%-46.3%) win rate for white (213 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Neumann Defense is slightly favors black with a 44.3% (90% CI: 42.4%-46.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.