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King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense

10K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score42.0%Range (90% confident): 41.2% – 42.8%Based on 10K games
0%42.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.2% – 42.8%
Outcome Distribution
39.9%4.1%56.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nf6
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense
Analyzen=10K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 42.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 41.2% and 42.8%), based on 10K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -9.2% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 32% → 15%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 31.8% win rate (41 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.8% win rate (126 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.2% win rate (377 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.0% win rate (986 games)
  • 1600-1799: 38.5% win rate (2,116 games)
  • 1800-1999: 39.4% win rate (2,898 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.3% win rate (2,626 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (1,072 games)
  • 2500+: 14.5% win rate (154 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (41%), worst in Classical (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 40.3% win rate (1,978 games)
  • Blitz: 41.4% win rate (6,202 games)
  • Rapid: 35.4% win rate (2,109 games)
  • Classical: 34.6% win rate (107 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (107 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (203 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (65 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (550 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (198 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 40.6% expected score (455 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (1,213 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.4% expected score (415 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (474 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (1,796 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (594 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 28.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (360 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (1,634 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (609 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.5% expected score (199 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (674 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.0% expected score (194 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Continuations (2)
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation
40.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation
43.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 39.9% (90% CI: 39.1%-40.7%) win rate for white, based on 10K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 44.9% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (41.4%) outperforms Classical (34.6%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 38.8% (90% CI: 31.8%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 126 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 43.2% (90% CI: 39.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 377 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 41.0% (90% CI: 38.4%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 986 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 38.5% (90% CI: 36.7%-40.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 39.4% (90% CI: 37.9%-40.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 40.3% (90% CI: 38.8%-41.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.5%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 14.5% (90% CI: 10.1%-19.3%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 61.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 40.3% (90% CI: 38.5%-42.2%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 41.4% (90% CI: 40.4%-42.4%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 35.4% (90% CI: 33.7%-37.1%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense has a 34.6% (90% CI: 27.2%-42.2%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense is slightly favors black with a 39.9% (90% CI: 39.1%-40.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.