81K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 45.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 45.4%), based on 81K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 47% → 41%
Best in Classical (45%), worst in Rapid (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 81K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (1.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (44.7%) outperforms Classical (45.4%) by -0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 39.0%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 45.9%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 354 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.1%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 42.5% (90% CI: 42.0%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.5%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.5%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 40.8% (90% CI: 34.9%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-45.3%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 43.0%-43.7%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.4%-43.0%) win rate for white (9.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 39.1%-51.7%) win rate for white (167 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Hanstein Gambit is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-43.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.