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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit

20K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.1%Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 46.7%Based on 20K games
0%46.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.5% – 46.7%
Outcome Distribution
44.1%3.9%51.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Ne5
King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit
Analyzen=20K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 46.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.5% and 46.7%), based on 20K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.7% win rate (78 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.0% win rate (330 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.8% win rate (1,238 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.2% win rate (3,857 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.0% win rate (6,894 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (5,374 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.6% win rate (1,776 games)
  • 2500+: 44.3% win rate (99 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (45%), worst in Classical (27%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.5% win rate (3,761 games)
  • Blitz: 44.3% win rate (13,561 games)
  • Rapid: 42.7% win rate (2,276 games)
  • Classical: 27.3% win rate (59 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (179 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (322 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (794 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (779 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (2,626 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (442 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 19.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (1,049 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (4,946 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (870 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 36.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (3,821 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (661 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (511 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (1,111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (151 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 20K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (5.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (44.3%) outperforms Classical (27.3%) by 17.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 40.0% (90% CI: 35.6%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 330 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 41.8% (90% CI: 39.5%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.0%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 41.6%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.1%-45.8%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit has a 42.7% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.5%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Greco Gambit is slightly favors black with a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.