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King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation

41K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.2%Range (90% confident): 56.8% – 57.6%Based on 41K games
0%57.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.8% – 57.6%
Outcome Distribution
55.8%2.8%41.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bd3
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation
Analyzen=41K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 57.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.8% and 57.6%), based on 41K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +13.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~56%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.0% win rate (521 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.7% win rate (2,000 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.1% win rate (4,118 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.0% win rate (7,730 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.2% win rate (11,781 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.4% win rate (10,275 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.3% win rate (3,515 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.0% win rate (685 games)
  • 2500+: 54.1% win rate (29 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.5% win rate (34 games)
  • Bullet: 55.9% win rate (13,717 games)
  • Blitz: 55.5% win rate (21,674 games)
  • Rapid: 56.3% win rate (5,113 games)
  • Classical: 56.6% win rate (116 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (275 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (204 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (980 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (820 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (198 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (1,855 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (1,787 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (470 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (2,555 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (4,150 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (979 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (3,121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (6,988 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (1,606 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (2,979 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (5,845 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (1,427 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (1,422 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,725 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (364 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (504 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (153 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 41K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 56.2% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.9%) outperforms Classical (56.6%) by -0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 52.4%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 521 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.9%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 54.8%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.5%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 685 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.6%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.1%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-57.4%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation has a 56.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-64.0%) win rate for white (116 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense, Spanish Variation is statistically favors white with a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.