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King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit

229 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score55.7%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 61.0%Based on 229 games
0%55.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 61.0%
Outcome Distribution
54.0%3.3%42.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Nd5
King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit
Analyzen=229
Avg Length25 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit has a 55.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 61.0%), based on 229 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 65%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 24.3% win rate (17 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (71 games)
  • 1800-1999: 61.7% win rate (82 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.8% win rate (47 games)
  • 2200-2499: 65.2% win rate (10 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (63%), worst in Classical (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 63.0% win rate (39 games)
  • Blitz: 54.2% win rate (149 games)
  • Rapid: 44.3% win rate (38 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399———
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 20.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 61.6% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 229 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 61.7% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 25 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-60.8%) win rate for white (149 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Double Muzio Gambit, Baldwin Gambit is statistically balanced with a 54.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-59.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.