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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation

8.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score42.8%Range (90% confident): 42.0% – 43.7%Based on 8.7K games
0%42.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.0% – 43.7%
Outcome Distribution
41.2%3.3%55.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Qg4
King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation
Analyzen=8.7K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 42.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.0% and 43.7%), based on 8.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -10.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 38% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.3% win rate (2,251 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.4% win rate (2,284 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (2,074 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.0% win rate (1,200 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.6% win rate (589 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (263 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.2% win rate (37 games)
  • 2200-2499: 61.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (42%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (27 games)
  • Bullet: 42.0% win rate (1,653 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (4,895 games)
  • Rapid: 37.9% win rate (2,052 games)
  • Classical: 40.1% win rate (82 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (471 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (1,259 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.6% expected score (503 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (407 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (1,346 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.2% expected score (509 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (332 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (1,250 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (463 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (228 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (590 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (354 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (283 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.1% expected score (153 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 40.3%-42.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (42.3%) outperforms Classical (40.1%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 38.3% (90% CI: 36.6%-40.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 41.4% (90% CI: 39.7%-43.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 37.0% (90% CI: 34.7%-39.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 39.3%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 589 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 42.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 263 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.0%-44.0%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 42.3% (90% CI: 41.2%-43.5%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation has a 37.9% (90% CI: 36.1%-39.6%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Dodo Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.2% (90% CI: 40.3%-42.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.