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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack

4.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.1%Range (90% confident): 56.9% – 59.2%Based on 4.9K games
0%58.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.9% – 59.2%
Outcome Distribution
56.3%3.4%40.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.e5
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack
Analyzen=4.9K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 58.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.9% and 59.2%), based on 4.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 54% → 70%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.4% win rate (187 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (514 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.7% win rate (869 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.3% win rate (1,132 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.0% win rate (892 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.3% win rate (579 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.9% win rate (455 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.3% win rate (267 games)
  • 2500+: 70.2% win rate (22 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (57%), worst in Classical (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 57.0% win rate (851 games)
  • Blitz: 56.4% win rate (2,851 games)
  • Rapid: 56.2% win rate (1,180 games)
  • Classical: 42.5% win rate (35 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (45 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (100 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (281 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (122 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (143 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (508 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (213 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (168 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (633 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (318 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (114 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (502 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (267 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 64.8% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (350 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (138 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (257 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.2% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.2%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 58.0% win rate for white (892 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (56.4%) outperforms Rapid (56.2%) by 0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 54.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 514 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 56.7% (90% CI: 53.9%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 869 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.9%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 58.0% (90% CI: 55.3%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 892 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 57.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 579 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 455 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 267 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 57.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-59.7%) win rate for white (851 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 56.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-57.9%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack has a 56.2% (90% CI: 53.8%-58.5%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Paulsen Attack is statistically favors white with a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.2%-57.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.