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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense

23K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.3%Based on 23K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%3.1%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...c6
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense
Analyzen=23K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 52.3%), based on 23K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.9% win rate (795 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.3% win rate (1,283 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.3% win rate (2,343 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.0% win rate (3,778 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.9% win rate (5,273 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.9% win rate (5,443 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (3,247 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (1,017 games)
  • 2500+: 48.6% win rate (53 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (50%), worst in UltraBullet (11%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (3,652 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (14,909 games)
  • Rapid: 50.1% win rate (4,504 games)
  • Classical: 44.4% win rate (164 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (340 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (364 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (90 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (315 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (761 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (202 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (418 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,483 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (435 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (560 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (2,549 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (626 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (622 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (3,381 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,204 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (64 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (696 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (3,493 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (1,222 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (421 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (2,154 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (659 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (248 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (704 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (65 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 23K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.3%) outperforms Classical (44.4%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 44.0%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 795 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.4%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.3%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense has a 44.4% (90% CI: 38.1%-50.8%) win rate for white (164 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Lopez Defense is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.