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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation

16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.0%Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 52.6%Based on 16K games
0%52.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.3% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%3.4%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...d6
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation
Analyzen=16K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 52.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.3% and 52.6%), based on 16K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.4% win rate (89 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.8% win rate (194 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.6% win rate (529 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.4% win rate (1,381 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (2,935 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (4,770 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (4,125 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (1,777 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (55 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Rapid (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (2,140 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (10,000 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (3,495 games)
  • Classical: 49.0% win rate (220 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (52 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (56 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (107 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (361 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (176 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (901 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (284 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 75.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (290 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,776 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (794 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (75 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (548 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (2,923 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,209 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (90 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (570 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (2,629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (900 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (346 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,245 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.7%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 43.0%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 194 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 529 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-55.4%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.0%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.8%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 43.5%-54.5%) win rate for white (220 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Cozio Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.