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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation

40K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.5%Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 56.9%Based on 40K games
0%56.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.1% – 56.9%
Outcome Distribution
54.8%3.3%41.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nc3
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation
Analyzen=40K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 56.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.1% and 56.9%), based on 40K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.3% · Breakpoint: 2500+

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (1,671 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.2% win rate (2,776 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.7% win rate (5,089 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.7% win rate (7,250 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.0% win rate (8,055 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.3% win rate (7,355 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.8% win rate (5,105 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.6% win rate (2,531 games)
  • 2500+: 50.5% win rate (138 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 54.5% win rate (8,409 games)
  • Blitz: 54.7% win rate (23,511 games)
  • Rapid: 55.5% win rate (7,677 games)
  • Classical: 57.4% win rate (365 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (554 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (778 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (334 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (733 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,346 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (687 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (989 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (2,967 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (1,097 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (1,370 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (4,337 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (1,451 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (1,473 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (4,597 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (1,854 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,502 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (4,436 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (1,338 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,049 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (3,250 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (786 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (651 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (1,753 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (127 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (88 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 40K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.7% win rate for white (7.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.5%) outperforms Classical (57.4%) by -1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.1%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.6%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.4%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.2%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.4%) win rate for white (7.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-61.7%) win rate for white (365 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.