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King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 53.3%Based on 18K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.1% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%3.9%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...c6
King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.1% and 53.3%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 59%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (580 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.2% win rate (1,143 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.0% win rate (1,821 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.7% win rate (2,665 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (3,191 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (3,286 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (3,216 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.2% win rate (2,358 games)
  • 2500+: 59.0% win rate (79 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (2,920 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (11,324 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (3,919 games)
  • Classical: 49.0% win rate (175 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (141 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (322 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (116 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (195 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (633 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (312 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.0% expected score (244 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (1,038 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (527 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (373 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,530 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (716 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (46 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (1,860 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (912 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (434 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,020 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (791 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (524 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (445 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (611 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,647 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (1.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.3%) outperforms Classical (49.0%) by 3.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 580 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 54.2% (90% CI: 51.8%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.8%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.6%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.2%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 42.8%-55.2%) win rate for white (175 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubow Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.