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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit

917 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.5%Range (90% confident): 42.8% – 48.2%Based on 917 games
0%45.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.8% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
43.6%3.8%52.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Qe2
King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit
Analyzen=917
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 45.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.8% and 48.2%), based on 917 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -17.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 42% → 11%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.9% win rate (310 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.4% win rate (159 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.0% win rate (112 games)
  • 1400-1599: 33.7% win rate (89 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.4% win rate (38 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.6% win rate (21 games)
  • 2000-2199: 66.3% win rate (49 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.5% win rate (136 games)
  • 2500+: 11.1% win rate (3 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (187 games)
  • Blitz: 42.7% win rate (407 games)
  • Rapid: 42.6% win rate (300 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (15 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (54 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (135 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (75 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 36.4% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 24.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 72.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (72 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 40.9%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 917 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.5% win rate for white (136 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Rapid (42.6%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 41.9% (90% CI: 37.3%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 310 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 41.4% (90% CI: 35.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 159 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 33.5%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 38.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 136 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (187 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 42.7% (90% CI: 38.7%-46.8%) win rate for white (407 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit has a 42.6% (90% CI: 38.0%-47.3%) win rate for white (300 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Basman Gambit is slightly favors black with a 43.6% (90% CI: 40.9%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.