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Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation

171K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.7%Based on 171K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.7%
Outcome Distribution
52.7%3.6%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nc3
Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation
Analyzen=171K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 54.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 54.7%), based on 171K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.6% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.0% win rate (7,352 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.4% win rate (14,622 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.4% win rate (26,222 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.1% win rate (37,817 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.9% win rate (38,368 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.3% win rate (27,810 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (12,094 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (5,827 games)
  • 2500+: 48.6% win rate (1,200 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.4% win rate (6,490 games)
  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (54,053 games)
  • Blitz: 52.2% win rate (84,229 games)
  • Rapid: 53.0% win rate (25,442 games)
  • Classical: 58.0% win rate (1,098 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (2,068 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (3,671 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (1,546 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 68.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (141 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (4,198 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (7,659 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (2,557 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 71.2% expected score (67 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (466 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (6,879 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (14,764 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (3,954 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.5% expected score (159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (1,929 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (10,001 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (19,718 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (5,867 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (302 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (2,471 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (11,253 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (18,165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (6,092 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (387 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (1,160 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (10,300 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (12,232 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (3,975 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (143 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (251 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (5,614 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (4,926 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,284 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (2,949 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,692 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (161 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (791 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (402 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Kangaroo Defense
51.1%
Analyze Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate?

The Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 171K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation perform best?

The Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (7.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.4%) by 9.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation?

The Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.4%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.0%) win rate for white (54K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.5%) win rate for white (84K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.5%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation has a 58.0% (90% CI: 55.5%-60.4%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation a good opening?

The Kangaroo Defense: Keres Defense, Transpositional Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.