What is the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 57.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.0% and 58.6%), based on 9.6K Lichess games.
9.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 57.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.0% and 58.6%), based on 9.6K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 57% → 47%
Best in Classical (71%), worst in UltraBullet (54%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.5%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K rated games from Lichess.
The Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 57.5% win rate for white (2.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (70.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (54.3%) by 16.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 57.1% (90% CI: 54.7%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 57.6% (90% CI: 54.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 915 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 55.6%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 53.7%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.7%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 52.9%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 764 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 313 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-57.1%) win rate for white (852 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.
In Bullet games, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.2%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Blitz games, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.2%-58.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Rapid games, the Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit has a 61.3% (90% CI: 58.9%-63.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
The Horwitz Defense: Zilbermints Gambit is statistically favors white with a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.5%-57.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.