What is the Englund Gambit Declined expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.0%), based on 1.8M Lichess games.
1.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 50.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.0%), based on 1.8M Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~50%)
Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Blitz (48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Englund Gambit Declined has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.8M rated games from Lichess.
The Englund Gambit Declined performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.5% win rate for white (167K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (51.9%) outperforms Blitz (48.1%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Englund Gambit Declined has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 81K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 167K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 306K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 425K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 418K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 278K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 88K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.8%) win rate for white (7.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.
In Bullet games, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (511K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.
In Blitz games, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.2%) win rate for white (975K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Rapid games, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (287K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Classical games, the Englund Gambit Declined has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.2%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
The Englund Gambit Declined is statistically balanced with a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.