12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 52.6%), based on 12K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 36% → 48%
Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.8% win rate for white (390 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Rapid (47.1%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 45.5% (90% CI: 39.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 160 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 390 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 47.2% (90% CI: 44.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 898 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 987 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.5%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.3%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (530 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Botvinnik System is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.