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English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined

248K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.1%Based on 248K games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%7.1%42.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.b3
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined
Analyzen=248K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.1%

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.1%), based on 248K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.4% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.7% win rate (47 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.4% win rate (198 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (656 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (2,100 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (6,756 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.1% win rate (21,022 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (53,649 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.2% win rate (107,013 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (56,367 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.0% win rate (1,793 games)
  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (122,656 games)
  • Blitz: 49.0% win rate (113,541 games)
  • Rapid: 49.3% win rate (9,332 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (486 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (320 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (271 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.9% expected score (115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (981 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (809 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 88.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (460 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (2,951 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (2,822 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (482 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (514 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (7,775 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (11,437 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,137 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (529 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (18,531 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (31,401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (3,002 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (186 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (48,990 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (53,759 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (4,047 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (43,010 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (12,924 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (407 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: Achilles-Omega Gambit
46.3%
English Opening: Adorjan Defense
47.2%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense
51.6%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense
51.8%
Analyze English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 248K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined perform best?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (56K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (56.0%) outperforms Classical (44.6%) by 11.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a sharpness score of 92.9 (decisive), meaning 92.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 198 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 656 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.0%-57.9%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white (123K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.3%) win rate for white (114K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.4%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.2%) win rate for white (9.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined has a 44.6% (90% CI: 40.9%-48.3%) win rate for white (486 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.5%.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined a good opening?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Neo-Catalan Declined is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.