Duras Gambit

1 variations · 2.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Duras Gambit gives White a 52.8% expected score — a strong opening choice.

With a minimum advantage of 5.4%, this opening reliably outperforms the baseline 50% expected score.

You play
Play This
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 52.9%Aggregated from 1 variations
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 52.9%
ContextOverall · n=2.3M
Outcome Distribution
51.3%3.0%45.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...f5
Duras Gambit
Variations1
Games (Context)2.3M
Avg Length31 moves
Draw Rate3.0%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall · limited data

No continuation list is available for this context yet (needs more games).

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

What is the Duras Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

Overall, the Duras Gambit family has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 52.9%), aggregated from 1 variations and 2.3M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.7% win rate (134,984 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.6% win rate (187,079 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (270,932 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (403,014 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (511,343 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (483,743 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.1% win rate (248,935 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.7% win rate (95,154 games)
  • 2500+: 52.2% win rate (11,350 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.1% win rate (28,557 games)
  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (997,130 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (1,025,479 games)
  • Rapid: 53.1% win rate (284,857 games)
  • Classical: 58.1% win rate (10,511 games)

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (683 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (37,386 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (65,755 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (30,788 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (372 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.3% expected score (1,335 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (56,597 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (91,909 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (36,375 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 65.0% expected score (863 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (3,540 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (85,346 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (132,597 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (47,451 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.9% expected score (1,998 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (8,244 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (133,236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (207,226 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (51,223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (3,085 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (7,956 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (193,740 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (246,780 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (60,043 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (2,824 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (4,612 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (233,271 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (198,503 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (46,202 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (1,155 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (1,701 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (167,995 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (67,344 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (11,693 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.2% expected score (202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (455 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (79,440 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (14,200 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,047 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (10,119 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,165 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (35 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (1)

Analyze Duras Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Duras Gambit win rate?

The Duras Gambit family has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.4%) win rate for white, aggregated from 1 variations and 2.3M rated games from Lichess.

How many Duras Gambit variations are there?

This analysis covers 1 Duras Gambit variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Duras Gambit perform best?

The Duras Gambit family performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (135K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Duras Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.1%) by 8.0% across all Duras Gambit variations.

How sharp is the Duras Gambit?

Duras Gambit games are 97.0% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 31 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Duras Gambit a good opening family?

The Duras Gambit family is statistically favors white overall with a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.4%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 1 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.