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Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit

1.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.6%Based on 1.1M games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%3.2%45.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.f3
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit
Analyzen=1.1M
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.6%), based on 1.1M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.9% win rate (71,986 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.0% win rate (103,076 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (145,791 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.5% win rate (194,829 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (226,565 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (212,534 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (113,297 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.3% win rate (36,150 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (2,566 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (6,047 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (429,951 games)
  • Blitz: 51.0% win rate (500,986 games)
  • Rapid: 49.2% win rate (165,489 games)
  • Classical: 43.8% win rate (4,321 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (150 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (21,891 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (35,118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (14,693 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.8% expected score (134 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (307 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (31,679 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (53,595 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (17,134 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.7% expected score (361 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.4% expected score (622 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (46,659 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (75,053 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (22,919 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (538 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.1% expected score (2,200 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (59,701 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (98,825 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (32,935 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (1,168 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (1,481 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (79,830 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (105,410 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (38,613 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (1,231 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.6% expected score (961 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (90,243 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (92,178 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (28,340 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (812 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (66,575 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (36,148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (10,261 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (30,893 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (4,579 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (591 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (2,480 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (80 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit
48.0%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Diemer-Rosenberg Attack
47.8%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Fritz Attack
46.2%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit
44.4%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation
45.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Lange Gambit
48.1%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (227K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.4%) outperforms Classical (43.8%) by 7.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 103K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 195K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 227K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 213K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 113K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.5%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (430K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.1%) win rate for white (501K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.4%) win rate for white (165K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.6%-45.1%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.