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Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense

61K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 49.1%Based on 61K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.9%3.7%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
Analyzen=61K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 48.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.5% and 49.1%), based on 61K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.7% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.7% win rate (425 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.6% win rate (1,462 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.5% win rate (3,128 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.2% win rate (6,243 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.0% win rate (11,033 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (16,178 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (13,328 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (7,800 games)
  • 2500+: 49.9% win rate (1,403 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.0% win rate (178 games)
  • Bullet: 49.3% win rate (21,042 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (30,445 games)
  • Rapid: 44.0% win rate (8,978 games)
  • Classical: 38.6% win rate (357 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (132 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (232 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (429 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (755 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (276 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (908 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (1,616 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (578 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,584 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (3,410 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (1,196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.1% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (3,038 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (5,627 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (2,214 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 40.8% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (4,383 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (8,943 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (2,686 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (4,631 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (7,025 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,562 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (89 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (4,703 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (2,675 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (404 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (1,234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (162 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted
50.9%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
50.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
47.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Euwe Defense
58.8%
Continuations (4)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
50.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
47.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 61K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.9% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.3%) outperforms Classical (38.6%) by 10.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 43.7%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 425 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 46.0% (90% CI: 39.9%-52.1%) win rate for white (178 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.6%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.9%) win rate for white (9.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense has a 38.6% (90% CI: 34.4%-42.9%) win rate for white (357 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.