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Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit

72K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.5%Based on 72K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%2.7%49.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.f4
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
Analyzen=72K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 49.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.5%), based on 72K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +1.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.6 · Trap factor: +2.7 · n=72K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 34%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (5,393 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.9% win rate (6,421 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (11,918 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (15,564 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (16,772 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (10,996 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.5% win rate (3,756 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.6% win rate (890 games)
  • 2500+: 34.1% win rate (82 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.3% win rate (330 games)
  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (19,282 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (37,376 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (14,273 games)
  • Classical: 46.1% win rate (531 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (1,434 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (2,338 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (1,585 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,602 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (3,455 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (1,297 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (94 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,688 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (6,288 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (2,753 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (105 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (3,690 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (8,481 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (3,103 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (185 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (3,807 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (9,575 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (3,171 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (3,693 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (5,417 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,846 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,646 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (1,609 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (482 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (651 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (203 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 36.9% expected score (71 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Bishop's Opening: Boi Variation
52.7%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 72K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.0%) outperforms Classical (46.1%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit?

The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 38.9%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 890 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 49.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-53.8%) win rate for white (330 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.6%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.9%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.9%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.6%-49.7%) win rate for white (531 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.