Amazon Attack

2 variations · 584K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Amazon Attack leaves White at 47.5% — consider alternatives.

The minimum advantage of -5.2% suggests this opening underperforms statistically at your level.

You play

Tough Sell

Rating

Time

White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 47.6%Aggregated from 2 variations

0%47.5%100%

Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 47.6%

ContextOverall · n=584K

Outcome Distribution

45.5%4.0%50.5%

Win

Draw

Loss

2.Qd3

Amazon Attack

Variations2

Games (Context)584K

Avg Length31 moves

Draw Rate4.0%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall

#1Amazon Attack: Siberian AttackTop Pick

1.d4 Nf6 2.Nc3 d5 3.Qd3

Min adv -6.1% · n=494K

47.1%

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

Snapshot

Overall, the Amazon Attack family has a 47.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 47.6%), aggregated from 2 variations and 584K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 53%

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (40%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Bulle	Blitz	Rapid	Class
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499					—
2500+					—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.8% expected score (220 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (24,608 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (91,980 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (56,073 games)
0-999 rating, Classical: 36.4% expected score (621 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.7% expected score (162 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (23,192 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (56,031 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (37,095 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (1,658 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (173 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (18,745 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (45,561 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (22,963 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (5,122 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (253 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (25,948 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (33,532 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (16,570 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 37.8% expected score (2,054 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (156 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (16,667 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (31,672 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (6,710 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (363 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (41 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (14,728 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (12,750 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (5,626 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (141 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (20,837 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (5,029 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (780 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (29 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (4,323 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (1,277 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (43 games)
2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (409 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (73 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (2)

Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack90K games

Balanced50.3%

Amazon Attack494K games

Losing47.1%

Analyze Amazon Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Amazon Attack win rate?

The Amazon Attack family has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.6%) win rate for white, aggregated from 2 variations and 584K rated games from Lichess.

How many Amazon Attack variations are there?

This analysis covers 2 Amazon Attack variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Amazon Attack perform best?

The Amazon Attack family performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 50.5% win rate for white (33K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Amazon Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (39.5%) by 8.5% across all Amazon Attack variations.

How sharp is the Amazon Attack?

Amazon Attack games are 96.0% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 31 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Amazon Attack a good opening family?

The Amazon Attack family is slightly favors black overall with a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.6%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 2 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.