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Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation

177K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.4%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.6%Based on 177K games
0%48.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.5%5.6%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation
Analyzen=177K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 48.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 48.6%), based on 177K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.3% win rate (3,456 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.6% win rate (7,917 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.5% win rate (12,293 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (17,416 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (25,974 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.0% win rate (36,439 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.1% win rate (42,233 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.8% win rate (26,541 games)
  • 2500+: 44.4% win rate (4,382 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Blitz (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.8% win rate (956 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (58,944 games)
  • Blitz: 44.3% win rate (98,631 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (17,353 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (767 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1,802 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (460 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (2,653 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (4,070 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (1,150 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (4,262 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (5,814 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (2,069 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (277 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (6,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (8,223 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (2,538 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (121 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (421 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (9,514 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (12,913 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (2,906 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (220 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.9% expected score (95 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (11,245 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (21,245 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (3,620 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (234 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 72.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (11,311 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (27,551 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (3,244 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (97 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 86.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (9,732 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (15,465 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (1,320 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (2,787 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,548 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (46 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Old Indian Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit
48.0%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nc3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nf3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation
48.5%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation
50.0%
Analyze Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate?

The Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 177K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation perform best?

The Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (7.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.2%) outperforms Blitz (44.3%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation?

The Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 41.7%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 43.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.4% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.5%) win rate for white (956 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.6%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.6%) win rate for white (99K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.9%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 44.1%-50.0%) win rate for white (767 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation a good opening?

The Old Indian Defense: Ukrainian Variation is statistically balanced with a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.