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Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation

105K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.8%Based on 105K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.8%
Outcome Distribution
52.1%4.8%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nf3
Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation
Analyzen=105K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 54.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 54.8%), based on 105K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.5% win rate (1,516 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.3% win rate (3,123 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (5,482 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.0% win rate (9,435 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.3% win rate (16,123 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.7% win rate (23,142 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.6% win rate (23,160 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (18,844 games)
  • 2500+: 51.8% win rate (4,278 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.1% win rate (663 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (39,546 games)
  • Blitz: 52.2% win rate (55,211 games)
  • Rapid: 53.0% win rate (9,306 games)
  • Classical: 55.9% win rate (377 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (452 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (763 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (289 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,318 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (487 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 26.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (2,484 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (2,250 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (703 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (157 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (3,703 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (4,478 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,055 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (291 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (6,268 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (7,698 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (1,775 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (91 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.4% expected score (105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (8,334 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (12,358 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (2,191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (154 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (7,828 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (13,237 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,998 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (6,846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (11,213 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (757 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 79.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (2,313 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (1,909 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Old Indian Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit
48.0%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nc3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nf3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation
48.5%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation
50.0%
Analyze Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate?

The Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 105K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation perform best?

The Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (9.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.1%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation?

The Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-51.3%) win rate for white (663 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.6%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.8%) win rate for white (9.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-60.1%) win rate for white (377 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation a good opening?

The Old Indian Defense: Two Knights Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.