Fried Fox Defense

1 variations · 123K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Fried Fox Defense gives White a 53.6% expected score — a strong opening choice.

With a minimum advantage of 6.8%, this opening reliably outperforms the baseline 50% expected score.

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Rating

Time

White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.9%Aggregated from 1 variations

0%53.6%100%

Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.9%

ContextOverall · n=123K

Outcome Distribution

51.8%3.6%44.6%

Win

Draw

Loss

2...Kf7

Fried Fox Defense

Variations1

Games (Context)123K

Avg Length35 moves

Draw Rate3.6%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall · limited data

No continuation list is available for this context yet (needs more games).

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

Snapshot

Overall, the Fried Fox Defense family has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 53.9%), aggregated from 1 variations and 123K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2500+

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (53%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet

Bullet

Blitz

Rapid

Classical

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

Rating	UB	Class
0-999		—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+	—	—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (604 games)
0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (935 games)
0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (234 games)
1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (721 games)
1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (806 games)
1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 62.6% expected score (332 games)
1000-1199 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,177 games)
1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (2,124 games)
1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (336 games)
1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.1% expected score (102 games)
1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (2,754 games)
1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (4,066 games)
1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (714 games)
1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (40 games)
1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.1% expected score (103 games)
1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (6,741 games)
1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (5,840 games)
1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (1,415 games)
1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (73 games)
1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (12,206 games)
1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (10,706 games)
1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (1,090 games)
1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (15,714 games)
2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (10,404 games)
2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (535 games)
2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.9% expected score (16 games)
2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (22,938 games)
2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (10,722 games)
2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (190 games)
2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (8,123 games)
2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (1,035 games)
2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (1)

Fried Fox Defense123K games

Winning53.6%

Analyze Fried Fox Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Fried Fox Defense win rate?

The Fried Fox Defense family has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, aggregated from 1 variations and 123K rated games from Lichess.

How many Fried Fox Defense variations are there?

This analysis covers 1 Fried Fox Defense variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Fried Fox Defense perform best?

The Fried Fox Defense family performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.9% win rate for white (1.9K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Fried Fox Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.4%) by 4.6% across all Fried Fox Defense variations.

How sharp is the Fried Fox Defense?

Fried Fox Defense games are 96.4% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 35 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Fried Fox Defense a good opening family?

The Fried Fox Defense family is statistically favors white overall with a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.1%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 1 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.