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English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.3%Range (90% confident): 45.0% – 49.6%Based on 1.2K games
0%47.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.0% – 49.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.4%3.8%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b4
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit
Analyzen=1.2K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 47.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.0% and 49.6%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -12.6% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (29 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.2% win rate (63 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.4% win rate (231 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (205 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.2% win rate (255 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (275 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (133 games)
  • 2500+: 56.4% win rate (26 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (62%), worst in Rapid (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.3% win rate (291 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (683 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (242 games)
  • Classical: 62.2% win rate (17 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 20.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 40.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (160 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (111 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (104 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (52 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (64 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 83.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: Achilles-Omega Gambit
46.3%
English Opening: Adorjan Defense
47.2%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense
51.6%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense
51.8%
Analyze English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit perform best?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.0% win rate for white (133 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.1%) outperforms Rapid (45.0%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 42.4% (90% CI: 37.1%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 40.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 205 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 39.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 255 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 40.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 275 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 48.0% (90% CI: 40.9%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 133 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 40.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (291 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 45.1% (90% CI: 42.0%-48.2%) win rate for white (683 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 39.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (242 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit a good opening?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Napolitano Gambit is slightly favors black with a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.