28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.6%), based on 28K Lichess games.
Stable across ratings (~51%)
Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (40%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 64.7% win rate for white (75 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (50.2%) outperforms Classical (40.1%) by 10.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a sharpness score of 93.7 (decisive), meaning 93.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 54.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 48.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 641 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (189 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.1%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined has a 46.5% (90% CI: 44.3%-48.8%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.
The English Opening: Neo-Catalan Declined is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.