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English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation

558K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.4%Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.5%Based on 558K games
0%55.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.5%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%4.5%42.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.e5
English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation
Analyzen=558K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 55.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.3% and 55.5%), based on 558K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (3,282 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.9% win rate (8,091 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.9% win rate (18,136 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.5% win rate (38,283 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (73,314 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.7% win rate (124,496 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.6% win rate (149,181 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.4% win rate (119,336 games)
  • 2500+: 54.4% win rate (23,981 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in UltraBullet (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.0% win rate (1,008 games)
  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (217,277 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (287,599 games)
  • Rapid: 52.3% win rate (49,798 games)
  • Classical: 53.0% win rate (2,418 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (960 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,664 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (637 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (190 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (2,421 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (4,090 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (1,355 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (5,814 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (9,523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (106 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 40.5% expected score (146 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (13,550 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (19,092 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (5,079 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (416 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (23,592 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (40,501 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (8,519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (317 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (36,691 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (74,522 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (12,268 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (698 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (120 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (51,491 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (84,661 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (12,477 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.5% expected score (432 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (63,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (49,486 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (6,620 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (160 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (19,707 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (4,060 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: Achilles-Omega Gambit
46.3%
English Opening: Adorjan Defense
47.2%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense
51.6%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubow Defense
51.8%
Analyze English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 558K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation perform best?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (119K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.0%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 124K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 149K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 119K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-51.6%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.7%) win rate for white (217K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.2%) win rate for white (288K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.6%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.6%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation a good opening?

The English Opening: Mikenas-Carls Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.