English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense

975 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.9%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 57.5%Based on 975 games
0%54.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 57.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%6.5%41.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense
n=975
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 57.5%), based on 975 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 24.4% win rate (21 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.6% win rate (40 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (84 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.4% win rate (165 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.7% win rate (287 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (297 games)
  • 2500+: 54.8% win rate (76 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (53%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (402 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (481 games)
  • Rapid: 46.4% win rate (75 games)
  • Classical: 52.0% win rate (11 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 26.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (156 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense win rate?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 975 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense perform best?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 56.7% win rate for white (287 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.0%) outperforms Rapid (46.4%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 165 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 56.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 287 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 44.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 297 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-54.8%) win rate for white (402 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense has a 53.0% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.7%) win rate for white (481 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense a good opening?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Bogoljubov Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-54.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.