What is the English Defense: Poli Gambit expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the English Defense: Poli Gambit has a 43.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 39.7% and 46.6%), based on 541 Lichess games.
English Defense: Poli Gambit
541 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellWhite Expected Score43.1%Range (90% confident): 39.7% – 46.6%Based on 541 games
0%43.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.7% – 46.6%
Outcome Distribution
41.0%4.1%54.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nh6
English Defense: Poli Gambit
Analyzen=541
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
White Win% by Rating
Declines with rating: 60% → 46%
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
- 1200-1399: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
- 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
- 1600-1799: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
- 1800-1999: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
- 2000-2199: 37.0% win rate (151 games)
- 2200-2499: 41.1% win rate (277 games)
- 2500+: 46.1% win rate (82 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Classical (20%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- Bullet: 42.4% win rate (134 games)
- Blitz: 40.7% win rate (383 games)
- Rapid: 38.8% win rate (23 games)
- Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 38.8% expected score (123 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (61 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (202 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (43 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (37 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Parent
English Defense49.7%
Analyze English Defense: Poli Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the English Defense: Poli Gambit win rate?
The English Defense: Poli Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 37.6%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 541 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the English Defense: Poli Gambit perform best?
The English Defense: Poli Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 46.1% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the English Defense: Poli Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (40.7%) outperforms Bullet (42.4%) by -1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the English Defense: Poli Gambit?
The English Defense: Poli Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the English Defense: Poli Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Defense: Poli Gambit has a 37.0% (90% CI: 30.7%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 151 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
What is the English Defense: Poli Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Defense: Poli Gambit has a 41.1% (90% CI: 36.3%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 277 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
What is the English Defense: Poli Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the English Defense: Poli Gambit has a 42.4% (90% CI: 35.5%-49.5%) win rate for white (134 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
What is the English Defense: Poli Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the English Defense: Poli Gambit has a 40.7% (90% CI: 36.6%-44.8%) win rate for white (383 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
Is the English Defense: Poli Gambit a good opening?
The English Defense: Poli Gambit is slightly favors black with a 41.0% (90% CI: 37.6%-44.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.