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Analyzer

English Defense: Perrin Variation

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 52.8%Based on 13K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%3.4%46.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nc6
English Defense: Perrin Variation
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.4% and 52.8%), based on 13K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 32% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 31.5% win rate (54 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.8% win rate (217 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.2% win rate (561 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.4% win rate (1,527 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (2,909 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.8% win rate (4,347 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (2,129 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.9% win rate (965 games)
  • 2500+: 55.4% win rate (169 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (2,948 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (8,304 games)
  • Rapid: 51.8% win rate (1,562 games)
  • Classical: 61.2% win rate (63 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 29.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (110 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (169 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (318 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (362 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (954 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (206 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (698 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (1,798 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (397 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (839 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (2,965 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 67.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (400 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,458 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (265 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (298 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (594 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 66.6% expected score (77 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Defense
49.7%
Variations (4)
English Defense: Eastbourne Gambit
50.1%
English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Accepted
52.1%
English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined
46.1%
English Defense: Poli Gambit
41.0%
Analyze English Defense: Perrin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate?

The English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Defense: Perrin Variation perform best?

The English Defense: Perrin Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (4.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Defense: Perrin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (61.2%) outperforms Bullet (49.8%) by 11.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Defense: Perrin Variation?

The English Defense: Perrin Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 217 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 561 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 965 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 169 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.1%) win rate for white (8.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the English Defense: Perrin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Defense: Perrin Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.9%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the English Defense: Perrin Variation a good opening?

The English Defense: Perrin Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.