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Analyzer

English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined

2.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.5%Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 49.1%Based on 2.7K games
0%47.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%2.7%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d5
English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined
Analyzen=2.7K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 47.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.9% and 49.1%), based on 2.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -0.5% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.3 · Trap factor: -0.1 · n=2.7K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 35% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 35.2% win rate (34 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.4% win rate (85 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.1% win rate (175 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (317 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (464 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.1% win rate (955 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.0% win rate (400 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.8% win rate (207 games)
  • 2500+: 49.2% win rate (30 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (64%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.0% win rate (11 games)
  • Bullet: 45.5% win rate (1,724 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (819 games)
  • Rapid: 51.1% win rate (109 games)
  • Classical: 63.6% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (127 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (162 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (163 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (712 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (223 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (287 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (188 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Defense
49.7%
Variations (4)
English Defense: Eastbourne Gambit
50.1%
English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Accepted
52.1%
English Defense: Perrin Variation
50.3%
English Defense: Poli Gambit
41.0%
Analyze English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate?

The English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined perform best?

The English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (175 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.5%) outperforms Rapid (51.1%) by -5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined?

The English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 54.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 175 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 46.6% (90% CI: 42.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 317 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 47.4% (90% CI: 43.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 464 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 45.1% (90% CI: 42.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 955 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 44.0% (90% CI: 39.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 400 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 45.8% (90% CI: 40.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 207 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.6%-47.5%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 46.4% (90% CI: 43.5%-49.2%) win rate for white (819 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined has a 51.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-58.9%) win rate for white (109 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined a good opening?

The English Defense: Hartlaub Gambit Declined is slightly favors black with a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.