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Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit

612K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.6%Range (90% confident): 55.5% – 55.7%Based on 612K games
0%55.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.5% – 55.7%
Outcome Distribution
54.2%2.8%43.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qxf3
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit
Analyzen=612K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.5% and 55.7%), based on 612K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.0% · Breakpoint: 2200-2499

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.8% win rate (16,055 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.4% win rate (42,698 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.0% win rate (86,645 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.3% win rate (132,922 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.0% win rate (159,387 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (124,136 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (42,766 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (6,907 games)
  • 2500+: 51.1% win rate (866 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in Classical (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.0% win rate (84 games)
  • Bullet: 56.1% win rate (159,437 games)
  • Blitz: 53.9% win rate (324,823 games)
  • Rapid: 52.5% win rate (125,034 games)
  • Classical: 50.5% win rate (3,004 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (4,626 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (8,476 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (2,936 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (10,945 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (23,534 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (8,123 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (81 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (20,222 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (46,299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (19,757 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (347 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (31,038 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (72,981 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (28,030 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (841 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (35,944 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (87,452 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (34,836 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (1,144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (31,482 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (66,996 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (25,161 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (496 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (19,707 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (17,248 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (5,734 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (76 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (4,648 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,798 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (455 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (825 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted
50.9%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
46.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
50.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
47.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 612K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (87K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.0%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.0%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 87K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 133K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 159K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 124K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 866 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.3%) win rate for white (159K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.1%) win rate for white (325K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.7%) win rate for white (125K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.0%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Ryder Gambit is statistically favors white with a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.