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Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 54.9%Based on 1.2K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 54.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%3.6%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qd6
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense
Analyzen=1.2K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 54.9%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.1% win rate (186 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.1% win rate (192 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.6% win rate (175 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.1% win rate (220 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.7% win rate (167 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.2% win rate (140 games)
  • 2000-2199: 38.8% win rate (59 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.1% win rate (29 games)
  • 2500+: 46.7% win rate (6 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (78%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (432 games)
  • Blitz: 51.0% win rate (468 games)
  • Rapid: 48.4% win rate (260 games)
  • Classical: 36.0% win rate (11 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.1% expected score (90 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 61.9% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (69 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (77 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (94 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (89 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (67 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted
50.9%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
46.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
50.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
47.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.1% win rate for white (192 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.8%) outperforms Rapid (48.4%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 186 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 56.1% (90% CI: 50.2%-61.9%) win rate for white, based on 192 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 45.6% (90% CI: 39.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 175 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 220 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 167 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 44.2% (90% CI: 37.4%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 140 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-55.7%) win rate for white (432 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-54.8%) win rate for white (468 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 43.3%-53.5%) win rate for white (260 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Holwell Defense is statistically balanced with a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.