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Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack

3.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 51.1%Based on 3.6K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%3.5%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Ne5
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
Analyzen=3.6K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 49.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 51.1%), based on 3.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -1.6% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (30 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.6% win rate (62 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.0% win rate (156 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (257 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (456 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (750 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.0% win rate (1,062 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.9% win rate (704 games)
  • 2500+: 40.6% win rate (172 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (18 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (1,612 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (1,598 games)
  • Rapid: 43.1% win rate (406 games)
  • Classical: 57.6% win rate (15 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (76 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.0% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (122 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (188 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (114 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (244 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (400 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (92 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (409 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (597 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (524 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (159 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.3% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted
50.9%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
46.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
50.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Euwe Defense
58.8%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (156 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.7%) outperforms Rapid (43.1%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 156 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 43.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 257 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 456 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 750 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 45.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 704 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 40.6% (90% CI: 34.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.4%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.7%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack has a 43.1% (90% CI: 39.1%-47.1%) win rate for white (406 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.