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Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack

740 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 54.8%Based on 740 games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 54.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%3.4%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.h4
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack
Analyzen=740
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.8% and 54.8%), based on 740 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +1.4% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 71%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.4% win rate (22 games)
  • 1600-1799: 38.9% win rate (46 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (93 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.4% win rate (361 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.0% win rate (191 games)
  • 2500+: 70.7% win rate (19 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (8%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (194 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (473 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (67 games)
  • Classical: 7.7% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 37.7% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (267 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 77.3% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted
50.9%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense
46.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Kloss Attack
47.1%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Nimzowitsch Attack
47.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Studier Attack
52.0%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Euwe Defense
58.8%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 740 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.4% win rate for white (361 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.7%) outperforms Rapid (46.0%) by 4.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a 47.0% (90% CI: 41.1%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 191 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 45.5%-57.3%) win rate for white (194 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-54.5%) win rate for white (473 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit Accepted: Bogoljubow Defense, Mad Dog Attack is statistically balanced with a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.