Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.3%Range (90% confident): 57.5% – 59.0%Based on 11K games
0%58.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.5% – 59.0%
Outcome Distribution
56.6%3.3%40.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.e5
Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 58.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.5% and 59.0%), based on 11K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.1% win rate (12 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.0% win rate (38 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.2% win rate (112 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (474 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.5% win rate (1,572 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.7% win rate (3,268 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.6% win rate (4,279 games)
  • 2500+: 56.7% win rate (759 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (30%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 54.7% win rate (5,084 games)
  • Blitz: 59.0% win rate (5,031 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (388 games)
  • Classical: 30.4% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (225 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (226 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (619 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (857 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (94 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,254 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (1,867 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (140 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (2,195 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.3% expected score (1,958 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (123 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (696 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.9% expected score (62 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate?

The Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.8%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation perform best?

The Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 58.6% win rate for white (4.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (59.0%) outperforms Rapid (51.5%) by 7.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation?

The Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-61.8%) win rate for white, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 474 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.5%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 55.2%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 58.6% (90% CI: 57.3%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 759 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.8%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 59.0% (90% CI: 57.8%-60.1%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-55.6%) win rate for white (388 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation a good opening?

The Benoni Defense: Mikenas Variation is statistically favors white with a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.8%-57.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.