What is the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 54.7%), based on 3.3K Lichess games.
3.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 54.7%), based on 3.3K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 49% → 43%
Best in Classical (73%), worst in Bullet (48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K rated games from Lichess.
The Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (794 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (52.0%) outperforms Bullet (48.4%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 44.9%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 186 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 46.7%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 459 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 767 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 794 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 516 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.4%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 205 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 40.9%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 238 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 34.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 105 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-51.5%) win rate for white (720 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.
In Blitz games, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.0%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
In Rapid games, the Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-55.4%) win rate for white (766 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
The Benoni Defense: Hawk Variation is statistically balanced with a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.