Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation

69K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.4%Based on 69K games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%5.3%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.h3
Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation
Analyzen=69K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.4%), based on 69K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 26% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 26.3% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (46 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (233 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (857 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (3,190 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (10,621 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.4% win rate (20,751 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.2% win rate (25,690 games)
  • 2500+: 56.0% win rate (7,830 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (16%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 15.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 52.0% win rate (22,066 games)
  • Blitz: 51.3% win rate (42,464 games)
  • Rapid: 50.2% win rate (4,493 games)
  • Classical: 47.1% win rate (195 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (119 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (96 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (374 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (416 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,024 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (1,923 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (2,614 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (6,979 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (964 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (4,493 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (14,397 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (1,770 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (91 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (8,296 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (15,990 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (1,378 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5,111 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.8% expected score (2,648 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (66 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate?

The Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 69K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation perform best?

The Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (7.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.0%) outperforms Classical (47.1%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation?

The Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.6%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 233 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 857 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.1%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.7%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.5%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 41.2%-52.9%) win rate for white (195 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.9%.

Is the Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation a good opening?

The Benoni Defense: Classical Variation, New York Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.