What is the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.6%), based on 61K Lichess games.
61K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.6%), based on 61K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 37% → 52%
Best in Classical (50%), worst in UltraBullet (30%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 61K rated games from Lichess.
The Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (4.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Classical (49.8%) by -1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 49.0% (90% CI: 41.5%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 120 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 52.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 429 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.0%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.6%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
In Blitz games, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
In Rapid games, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.1%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.
In Classical games, the Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-56.5%) win rate for white (150 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.
The Benko Gambit Declined: Main Line is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.