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English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation

605K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 46.1%Based on 605K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 46.1%
Outcome Distribution
44.2%3.5%52.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Qa5
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation
Analyzen=605K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.9% and 46.1%), based on 605K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.6% win rate (10,292 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.1% win rate (30,714 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.4% win rate (65,230 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.7% win rate (107,675 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.7% win rate (139,355 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.9% win rate (141,230 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.6% win rate (79,204 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.0% win rate (28,537 games)
  • 2500+: 38.5% win rate (2,584 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (45%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.0% win rate (111 games)
  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (226,756 games)
  • Blitz: 43.9% win rate (307,560 games)
  • Rapid: 42.3% win rate (68,360 games)
  • Classical: 38.6% win rate (2,034 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (3,868 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (5,177 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (1,234 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (10,678 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (15,846 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (4,144 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (21,322 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (34,257 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (9,463 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (34,729 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (57,796 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (14,563 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (564 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (44,786 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (74,982 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (18,787 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (772 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (50,127 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (76,122 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (14,545 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (423 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (38,811 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (35,561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (4,762 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.2% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (19,977 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (7,696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (859 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.6% expected score (2,458 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.0% expected score (123 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate?

The English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 605K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation perform best?

The English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.4% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (56.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (53.8%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation?

The English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 141K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 55.8%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-61.4%) win rate for white (111 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.7%) win rate for white (227K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white (308K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.5%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.9%-58.5%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation a good opening?

The English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense, Malvinas Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.